This weekend we will undoubtedly pass 40,000 deaths in the United States because of COVID-19. However, there is some good news from epidemiologists who are controlling one of the most watched models…
The University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) lowered its projection of total deaths from 68,841 (with an estimate range of 30,188 to 175,965) to just over 60,308 (with an estimate range of 34,063 to 140,381) in an update published Friday.
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Of course, as the new numbers were announced this gave fuel to many who have been questioning the extreme measures governors and states have taken to combat this virus. I think the debate on how far should the government be involved in shutting down parts of our economy is a good one. However, it should be noted that the epidemiologists touting these new numbers do credit our behavioral change for the new lower estimates…
Since those 84,000 estimates, more states have implemented sweeping social distancing and lockdown measures in an effort to slow the spread of infections. Revising models show that those strategies are working, they say.
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Is this true? Well, that is the cause of another debate. Either way, the good news is fewer people could die in the US because of COVID-19 and that should make everyone happy